Crypto Scenario Planner

Plan for different market scenarios and prepare your investment strategy

Your Position

Available capital for buying opportunities

Crypto Value$50,000
Cash$5,000
Total$55,000

High Risk

Consider reducing exposure or keeping cash reserves for buying opportunities.

Your portfolio is heavily concentrated in crypto. Consider diversifying or setting aside cash for dips.

Probability-Weighted Expected Outcome

$74,000
+$19,000 (+34.5%)

Market Scenarios

🚀

Moon Shot

Massive bull run, 3x price increase

15% chance

New Price

$150,000

Crypto Value

$150,000

Change

+200.0%

Total Portfolio: $155,000
💡 Consider taking partial profits
📈

Bull Market

Sustained uptrend, 80% price increase

25% chance

New Price

$90,000

Crypto Value

$90,000

Change

+80.0%

Total Portfolio: $95,000
💡 Hold and consider adding on dips
➡️

Sideways

Range-bound market, slight growth

30% chance

New Price

$55,000

Crypto Value

$55,000

Change

+10.0%

Total Portfolio: $60,000
💡 DCA and accumulate
📉

Correction

40% pullback from current levels

20% chance

New Price

$30,000

Crypto Value

$30,000

Change

-40.0%

Total Portfolio: $35,000
💡 Deploy cash reserves strategically
🐻

Bear Market

Extended bear market, 70% decline

10% chance

New Price

$15,000

Crypto Value

$15,000

Change

-70.0%

Total Portfolio: $20,000
💡 Preserve capital, long-term DCA only

Outcome Range

Worst Case (Bear Market)

$20,000

-63.6% portfolio change

Best Case (Moon Shot)

$155,000

+181.8% portfolio change

$20,000Current: $55,000$155,000

Preparing for Each Scenario

📈

Bull Market Prep

  • • Set profit-taking targets
  • • Use trailing stop-losses
  • • Don't FOMO at tops
  • • Rebalance periodically
🐻

Bear Market Prep

  • • Keep cash reserves ready
  • • Set buy orders at key levels
  • • Don't panic sell
  • • Focus on accumulation
➡️

Sideways Prep

  • • DCA consistently
  • • Trade the range
  • • Stake for yield
  • • Build position size
🎯

Always Do

  • • Have a written plan
  • • Manage risk first
  • • Don't overleverage
  • • Stay emotionally neutral

Disclaimer: Scenario probabilities and outcomes are hypothetical examples for educational purposes only. Actual market behavior is unpredictable. This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making investment decisions.